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【11月19】北京:Dynamic Estimation of Policy Effe

  目:Dynamic Estimation of Policy Effects: An Application to Welfare Time Limits

  间:20101119日下午12:30-1:30

  点:经济学院302会议室

主讲人:陈景祺

  位:北京大学经济学院

Abstract

The treatment effect of a program may often depend on an individual’s past actions which are endogenous. We extend the standard linear dynamic panel data model and present a GMM estimator to solve this issue. The model is applied to Florida’s Family Transition Program (FTP), a randomized experiment on welfare time limits. We find that the time limit caused the welfare receipt rate to drop by 6.4 percentage points for each additional year of past welfare receipt. This effect constituted around 40 percent of the overall behavioral effect of the time limit.

论文全文Marc Chan.pdf

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