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洪永淼教授简介

  1993 年美国加州大学圣地亚哥校区经济学博士;康奈尔大学经济学、统计学和金融工程终身教授;厦门大学王亚南经济研究院院长。

研究领域

  计量经济学理论,时间序列计量经济,金融计量经济学,中国经济与金融市场实证研究。

目前研究兴趣

  连续时间金融模型检验,非线性时间序列模型检验,资产定价模型实证研究,利率期限结构实证研究,久期分析( Duration Analysis )在金融和劳动经济学的应用。

论文代表作

国际期刊----

•  “Asymptotic theory for entropy-based measure of serial dependence” (with H.White), Econometrica 73, 2005.

•  “Generalized spectral testing for conditional mean models in time series with conditional heteroskedasticity of unknown form” (with Y. Lee), Review of Economic Studies 72, 2005.

•  “Nonparametric specification testing for continuous-time models with applications to interest rate term structure” (with H. Li), Review of Financial Studies 18, 2005.

•  “Wavelet-based consistent testing for serial correlation in panel models” (with C. Kao), Econometrica 72, 2004.

•  “Out-of-sample performance of discrete-time short-term interest models” (with H. Li and F. Zhao), Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 22, 2004.

•  “Inference on predictability of foreign exchange rates via generalized spectrum and nonlinear time series models” (with T. H. Lee), Review of Economics and Statistics 85 2003.

•  “Diagnostic checking for the adequacy of nonlinear time series models” (with T. H. Lee), Econometric Theory 19, 2003.

•  “A test for volatility spillover with application to foreign exchange rates,” Journal of Econometrics 103, 2001.

•  “Generalized spectral tests for serial dependence,” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , Series B, 62, 2000.

•  “Hypothesis testing in time series via the empirical characteristic function: a generalized spectral density approach,” Journal of the American Statistical Association 94, 1999.

•  “Testing for independence between two covariance stationary time series,” Biometrika 83, 1996.

•  “Consistent testing for serial correlation of unknown form,” Econometrica 64, 1996.

•  “Consistent specification testing via nonparametric series regressions” (with H. White), Econometrica 63 1995.

•  “ China 's evolving managerial labor market” (with T. Groves , J. McMillan and B. Naughton), Journal of Political Economy 103, 1995.

•  “Autonomy and incentives in Chinese state enterprises” (with T. Groves , J. McMillan and B. Naughton), Quarterly Journal of Economics CIX, 1994.  

国内期刊----

•  “中国股市与世界其他股市之间的大风险溢出效应”,洪永淼 , 成思危 , 刘艳辉 , 汪寿阳,《经济学 ( 季刊 ) 》,第三期 , 2004 .

•  “中国股市是弱式有效的吗 ? ——基于一种新方法的实证研究”,陈灯塔 , 洪永淼,《经济学 ( 季刊 ) 》,第一期 , 2003 .

•  “金融计量的新近发展”,《经济学 ( 季刊 ) 》,第二期 , 2002 .

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